Araştırma Makalesi
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Sınırlı Belirsizlik Koşullarında Ücretsiz Fazla Mesai Sırasında Kaytarma

Yıl 2026, Cilt: 28 Sayı: 1 , 155 - 174 , 20.04.2026
https://doi.org/10.26745/ahbvuibfd.1735277
https://izlik.org/JA53LZ25RB

Öz

Bu çalışmada, davranışsal iktisat alanında süresi net olarak belirlenmemiş ücretsiz fazla mesailerde çalışanların kaytarma davranışını ele alıyoruz. Standart istihdam koşullarında kaytarma üzerine kapsamlı araştırmalar yapılmış olsa da çalışanların ücretsiz mesai süresini kısaltıp uzatabildikleri durumlarda nasıl davrandıkları hakkında çok az şey bilinmektedir. Bu çalışma, sonuçlar hakkında sınırlı belirsizlik koşulları altında ücretsiz fazla mesai sürelerini kontrol eden çalışanları incelemektedir. Avrupa futbolundan 9.018 yüksek riskli karardan oluşan kapsamlı bir veri seti kullanarak, çalışanların ücretsiz fazla mesai ile karşı karşıya kaldıklarında sistematik olarak kaytarma davranışı gösterdiklerine dair kanıt sunuyoruz. Analizimiz, sonucun belirsizliği azaldıkça çalışanların sistematik olarak olması gerekenden daha kısa ücretsiz mesai yaptıklarını ortaya koymaktadır. Bulgular, sınırlı belirsizlik ve ücretsiz fazla mesainin çalışan davranışını etkilemek için nasıl etkileşime girdiğine dair yeni bulgular sağlamakta ve çalışanların fazla mesai süresini kontrol ettiği ortamlarda işyeri verimliliği için çıkarımlar sunmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Alchian, A. A., & Demsetz, H. (1972). Production, information costs, and economic organization. The American Economic Review, 62(5), 777-795.
  • Antosz, P., & Verhagen, H. (2020). Employee shirking and overworking: modelling the unintended consequences of work organisation. Ergonomics, 63(11), 1423-1436. https://doi.org/10.1080/00140139.2020.1744710
  • Ariely, D., Gneezy, U., Loewenstein, G., & Mazar, N. (2009). Large stakes and big mistakes. The Review of Economic Studies, 76(2), 451-469. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2009.00534.x
  • Bradbury, J. C. (2019). Monitoring and employee shirking: Evidence from MLB umpires. Journal of Sports Economics, 20(6), 850-872. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002518808350
  • Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2010). The 12th man?: Refereeing bias in English and German soccer. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 173(2), 431-449. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00604.x
  • Cappelli, P., & Chauvin, K. (1991). An Interplant Test of the Efficiency Wage Hypothesis. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(3), 769-790. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937926
  • Depken II, C. A., Redmount, E., & Snow, A. (2001). Shirking and the choice of technology: a theory of production inefficiency with an empirical application. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 44(4), 383-402. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-2681(00)00146-3
  • Garicano, L., Palacios-Huerta, I., & Prendergast, C. (2005). Favoritism under social pressure. Review of Economics and Statistics, 87(2), 208-216.
  • Hamermesh, D. S. (1990). Shirking or productive schmoozing: Wages and the allocation of time at work. ILR Review, 43(3), 121-S-133-S. https://doi.org/10.1177/001979399004300308
  • Ichino, A., & Riphahn, R. T. (2005). The effect of employment protection on worker effort: Absenteeism during and after probation. Journal of the European Economic Association, 3(1), 120-143. https://doi.org/10.1162/1542476053295296
  • International Football Association Board. (2025). Laws of the Game 2025-26. https://www.theifab.com
  • Judge, T. A., & Chandler, T. D. (1996). Individual-level determinants of employee shirking. Relations Industrielles/Industrial Relations, 51(3), 468-487. https://doi.org/10.7202/051112ar
  • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-292. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914185
  • Kocsoy, A. (2025). Referee bias in football: Actual vs. expected additional time. Sports Economics Review, 9, 100047. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.serev.2025.100047
  • Lago-Peñas, C., & Gómez-López, M. (2016). The influence of referee bias on extra time in elite soccer matches. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 122(2), 666-677. https://doi.org/10.1177/0031512516633342
  • Li, Y., Weber, H., & Link, D. (2024). Additional time error in association football is associated with interruption type and goal difference. Science and Medicine in Football. 1-6. https://doi.org/10.1080/24733938.2024.2435843
  • Lopez, M. J., & Mills, B. M. (2019). Opportunistic shirking behavior during unpaid overtime. Applied Economics Letters, 26(7), 608-612. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488048
  • Nagin, D. S., Rebitzer, J. B., Sanders, S., & Taylor, L. J. (2002). Monitoring, motivation, and management: The determinants of opportunistic behavior in a field experiment. American Economic Review, 92(4), 850-873. https://doi.org/10.1257/00028280260344498
  • Sanders, S., & Walia, B. (2012). Shirking and "choking" under incentive-based pressure: A behavioral economic theory of performance production. Economics Letters, 116(3), 363-366. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.03.030
  • Shapiro, C., & Stiglitz, J. E. (1984). Equilibrium unemployment as a worker discipline device. The American Economic Review, 74(3), 433-444.
  • Siegle, M., & Prüßner, R. (2013). Additional time in soccer. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 13(3), 716-723. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2013.11868683
  • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124
  • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5(4), 297-323. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00122574

Shirking During Unpaid Overtime Under Limited Uncertainty

Yıl 2026, Cilt: 28 Sayı: 1 , 155 - 174 , 20.04.2026
https://doi.org/10.26745/ahbvuibfd.1735277
https://izlik.org/JA53LZ25RB

Öz

Understanding shirking behaviour during unpaid overtime periods of uncertain duration remains a fundamental challenge in behavioural economics. While extensive research has examined shirking under standard employment conditions, little is known about how decision-makers respond when they can influence the likelihood of continued unpaid work. This study examines decision-makers who control the duration of unpaid overtime periods under conditions of limited uncertainty about outcomes. Using a comprehensive dataset of 9,018 high-stakes decisions from European football, we find systematic evidence of strategic shirking behaviour when decision-makers face indefinite unpaid overtime. Our analysis reveals that as outcome uncertainty decreases, decision-makers systematically reduce the duration of unpaid overtime periods. The findings provide novel insights into how limited uncertainty and unpaid overtime interact to drive strategic behaviour, with implications for workplace productivity and incentive design in environments where workers control overtime duration.

Kaynakça

  • Alchian, A. A., & Demsetz, H. (1972). Production, information costs, and economic organization. The American Economic Review, 62(5), 777-795.
  • Antosz, P., & Verhagen, H. (2020). Employee shirking and overworking: modelling the unintended consequences of work organisation. Ergonomics, 63(11), 1423-1436. https://doi.org/10.1080/00140139.2020.1744710
  • Ariely, D., Gneezy, U., Loewenstein, G., & Mazar, N. (2009). Large stakes and big mistakes. The Review of Economic Studies, 76(2), 451-469. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2009.00534.x
  • Bradbury, J. C. (2019). Monitoring and employee shirking: Evidence from MLB umpires. Journal of Sports Economics, 20(6), 850-872. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002518808350
  • Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2010). The 12th man?: Refereeing bias in English and German soccer. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 173(2), 431-449. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00604.x
  • Cappelli, P., & Chauvin, K. (1991). An Interplant Test of the Efficiency Wage Hypothesis. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(3), 769-790. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937926
  • Depken II, C. A., Redmount, E., & Snow, A. (2001). Shirking and the choice of technology: a theory of production inefficiency with an empirical application. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 44(4), 383-402. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-2681(00)00146-3
  • Garicano, L., Palacios-Huerta, I., & Prendergast, C. (2005). Favoritism under social pressure. Review of Economics and Statistics, 87(2), 208-216.
  • Hamermesh, D. S. (1990). Shirking or productive schmoozing: Wages and the allocation of time at work. ILR Review, 43(3), 121-S-133-S. https://doi.org/10.1177/001979399004300308
  • Ichino, A., & Riphahn, R. T. (2005). The effect of employment protection on worker effort: Absenteeism during and after probation. Journal of the European Economic Association, 3(1), 120-143. https://doi.org/10.1162/1542476053295296
  • International Football Association Board. (2025). Laws of the Game 2025-26. https://www.theifab.com
  • Judge, T. A., & Chandler, T. D. (1996). Individual-level determinants of employee shirking. Relations Industrielles/Industrial Relations, 51(3), 468-487. https://doi.org/10.7202/051112ar
  • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-292. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914185
  • Kocsoy, A. (2025). Referee bias in football: Actual vs. expected additional time. Sports Economics Review, 9, 100047. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.serev.2025.100047
  • Lago-Peñas, C., & Gómez-López, M. (2016). The influence of referee bias on extra time in elite soccer matches. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 122(2), 666-677. https://doi.org/10.1177/0031512516633342
  • Li, Y., Weber, H., & Link, D. (2024). Additional time error in association football is associated with interruption type and goal difference. Science and Medicine in Football. 1-6. https://doi.org/10.1080/24733938.2024.2435843
  • Lopez, M. J., & Mills, B. M. (2019). Opportunistic shirking behavior during unpaid overtime. Applied Economics Letters, 26(7), 608-612. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2018.1488048
  • Nagin, D. S., Rebitzer, J. B., Sanders, S., & Taylor, L. J. (2002). Monitoring, motivation, and management: The determinants of opportunistic behavior in a field experiment. American Economic Review, 92(4), 850-873. https://doi.org/10.1257/00028280260344498
  • Sanders, S., & Walia, B. (2012). Shirking and "choking" under incentive-based pressure: A behavioral economic theory of performance production. Economics Letters, 116(3), 363-366. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.03.030
  • Shapiro, C., & Stiglitz, J. E. (1984). Equilibrium unemployment as a worker discipline device. The American Economic Review, 74(3), 433-444.
  • Siegle, M., & Prüßner, R. (2013). Additional time in soccer. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 13(3), 716-723. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2013.11868683
  • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124
  • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5(4), 297-323. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00122574
Toplam 23 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Mikro İktisat (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Alperen Koçsoy 0000-0002-1924-5230

Gönderilme Tarihi 5 Temmuz 2025
Kabul Tarihi 6 Mart 2026
Yayımlanma Tarihi 20 Nisan 2026
DOI https://doi.org/10.26745/ahbvuibfd.1735277
IZ https://izlik.org/JA53LZ25RB
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2026 Cilt: 28 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Koçsoy, A. (2026). Shirking During Unpaid Overtime Under Limited Uncertainty. Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 28(1), 155-174. https://doi.org/10.26745/ahbvuibfd.1735277