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Yer Sistem Modellerinin Son Buzul Maksimumu İklim Ardgörülerinin Holdridge Biyomları ve Paleobuzul Alanları ile Değerlendirilmesi

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 21 Sayı: 2, 394 - 426, 30.10.2023
https://doi.org/10.33688/aucbd.1290590

Öz

Geçmiş dönem iklim koşullarını anlamak için kullanılan yöntemlerden biri olan iklim modeli verileri ile yapılan çalışmalar artmakta, bu çalışmaların hangisinin gerçeği daha iyi yansıttığı konusundaki denkleştirme, sağlama yapma çalışmaları ise daha sınırlı kalmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, 7 farklı iklim modeli ardgörülerinin, çözünürlüğü artırılmış veri setlerinden, Holdridge biyomlarında bulunan buzul alanları üretilmiş, bu alanlar ile Türkiye’deki paleobuzul alanları karşılaştırılmıştır. Çalışmada, 1 km çözünürlüklü veri setleri kullanılmış, elde edilen buzul ve soğuk çöl alanları ile farklı kaynaklar kullanılarak üretilen, Türkiye’nin Son Buzul Maksimumu buzul alanları arasındaki benzerlik ve farklılıklar değerlendirilmiştir. Değerlendirme için, Türkiye paleobuzul alanları bölgelere ayrılmış, bu sayede hangi iklim modelinin hangi bölgede daha az hatalı sonuçlar verdiği ortaya koyulmuştur. Sonuç olarak, Türkiye’de MPI-ESM-P ve CCSM4 modellerinin daha geniş alanlar için tutarlı sonuçlar verirken, FGOALS2, IPSL-CM5A-LR, MRI-CGCM3 modellerinin bölgesel bazda anlamlı sonuçlar verdiği görülmüştür. MICRO-ESM ve CNRM-CM5 modellerinin ise Türkiye’deki SBM iklim koşullarını yansıtabilmesi için iyileştirmeler yapılması gerektiği ortaya çıkmıştır.

Kaynakça

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Evaluation of Earth System Models' Last Glacial Maximum climate hindcasts with Holdridge Biomes and paleoglacier areas

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 21 Sayı: 2, 394 - 426, 30.10.2023
https://doi.org/10.33688/aucbd.1290590

Öz

Studies with climate model data, which is one of the methods used to understand the climatic conditions of the past, are increasing, while the studies of balancing and validating which of these studies better demonstrate the reality remain more limited. In this study, glacier areas in the Holdridge biomes were produced from the datasets of 7 different climate model escapades with enhanced resolution, and these areas were compared with the paleo glacier areas in Turkey. In the study, 1 km resolution data sets were used, and the similarities and differences between the glacier and cold desert areas obtained and Turkey's Last Glacial Maximum glacier areas produced using different sources were evaluated. For the evaluation, Turkey's paleo glacier areas were divided into regions, thus it was revealed which climate model gave less inaccurate results in which region. As a result, it was seen that the MPI-ESM-P and CCSM4 models gave consistent results for larger areas in Turkey, while the FGOALS2, IPSL-CM5A-LR, MRI-CGCM3 models gave significant results on a regional basis. On the other hand, it has been revealed that MICRO-ESM and CNRM-CM5 models need to be improved in order to represent the LGM climate conditions in Turkey.

Kaynakça

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  • Tatlı, H. (2017). Classification of the Köppen and Holdridge life zones with respect to the climate scenarios-Rcp4. 5 over Turkey. In 8th Atmospheric Sciences Symposium-01-04 November 2017, 651-657.
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  • Voldoire, A., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Salas y Mélia, D., Decharme, B., Cassou, C., Sénési, S., Valcke, S., Beau, I., Alias, A., Chevallier, M., Deque, M., Deshayes, J., Douville, H., Fernandez, E., Madec, G., Maisonnave, E., Moine, M.P., Planton, S., Saint-Martin, D., Szopa, S., Tyteca, S., Alkama, R., Belamari, S., Braun, A., Coquart, L., Chauvin, F. (2013). The CNRM-CM5. 1 global climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 40 (9-10), 2091-2121. doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1259-y
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  • Yılmaz, E. (2021a). Yüksek çözünürlüklü CCSM4 model verilerine göre Son Buzul Maksimumunda (SBM) Türkiye’nin Holdridge Ekolojik Bölgeleri ve günümüz iklim şartlarıyla karşılaştırılması. Coğrafi Bilimler Dergisi, 19(2), 331–67. doi: 10.33688/aucbd.880675
  • Yılmaz, E. (2021b). Yüksek çözünürlüklü ERA-Interim ve HadGEM2-CC model verilerine göre Türkiye’nin güncel ve gelecekteki Holdridge ekolojik bölgeleri. Coğrafi Bilimler Dergisi, 19(1), 29–60. doi: 10.33688/aucbd.778259
  • Yukimoto, S., Adachi, Y., Hosaka, M., Sakami, T., Yoshimura, H., Hirabara, M., Tanaka, T.Y., Shindo, E., Tsujino, H., Deushi, M., Mizuta, R., Yabu, S., Obata, A., Nakano, H., Koshiro, T., Ose, T., Kitoh, A. (2012). A new global climate model of the Meteorological Research Institute: MRI-CGCM3: -Model description and basic performance-. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 90(A), 23–64. doi: 10.2151/jmsj.2012-A02
  • Zheng, W., Yu, Y. (2013). Paleoclimate simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum by FGOALS. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 30 (3), 684-698. doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-2177-6
  • Zhou, T., Song, F., Chen, X. (2013). Historical evolution of global and regional surface air temperature simulated by FGOALS-s2 and FGOALS-g2: How reliable are the model results?. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 30(3), 638-657. doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2205-1
  • Zhou, T., Wang, B., Yu, Y., Liu, Y., Zheng, W., Li, L., Wu, B., Lin, P., Guo, Z., Man, W., Bao, Q., Duan, A., Liu, H., Chen, X., He, B., Li, J., Zou, L., Wang, X., Zhang, L., Sun, Y., Zhang, W. (2018). The FGOALS climate system model as a modeling tool for supporting climate sciences: An overview. Earth and Planetary Physics, 2 (4), 276-291. doi: 10.26464/epp2018026
Toplam 96 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Buzulbilim, Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemleri, Fiziki Coğrafya
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Erkan Yılmaz 0000-0002-3821-3648

Serdar Yeşilyurt 0000-0002-2896-9644

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 13 Eylül 2023
Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Ekim 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 21 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Yılmaz, E., & Yeşilyurt, S. (2023). Yer Sistem Modellerinin Son Buzul Maksimumu İklim Ardgörülerinin Holdridge Biyomları ve Paleobuzul Alanları ile Değerlendirilmesi. Coğrafi Bilimler Dergisi, 21(2), 394-426. https://doi.org/10.33688/aucbd.1290590