Araştırma Makalesi
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Transformation of Israeli Security Organizations after the Yom Kippur War

Yıl 2022, , 201 - 220, 01.05.2022
https://doi.org/10.53451/ijps.1069303

Öz

Bu makale, Yom Kippur Savaşı sonrasında İsrail güvenlik kurumlarında yaşanan dönüşümü analiz etmektedir. Bu bağlamda, yaşanan dönüşümün teorik ve pratik çerçevesinin çizilmesi için ilk olarak askeri değişim ve istihbarat örgütlerinin değişimine dair literatür sistematik olarak incelenmiştir. Gerçekleştirilen araştırma sonucunda, Yom Kippur Savaşı’nın İsrail politika yapıcıları ve kamuoyu tarafından bir istihbarat başarısızlığı olarak değerlendirildiği ve yaşanan dönüşümün temel sebebinin sosyal travma ve başarısızlığı giderme motivasyonu olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca, literatürdeki yaygın görüşün aksine, İsrail askeri kurumlarında yaşanan dönüşümün hem yukarıdan aşağı hem de aşağıdan yukarı olmak üzere karma bir biçimde gerçekleştiği sonucuna varılmıştır. İstihbarat başarısızlığından doğan söz konusu değişimin, sadece savaşın gerçekleştiği tarihler arasında değil öncesi, savaş süreci ve savaş sonrası askeri, siyasi ve stratejik konjunktür göz önüne alındığında farklı dönüşüm faktörlerini kapsayan, hibrit bir şekilde gerçekleştiği değerlendirilmiştir. Son olarak, İsrail istihbarat örgütlerinde yaşanan dönüşümün ise 1974 yılında kurulan Agranat Komisyonu’nun önerileri doğrultusunda bireysel ve yapısal olarak iki aşamalı olduğu tespit edilmiştir.

Kaynakça

  • Adamsky, Dima. The Culture of Military Innovation: The Impact of Cultural Factors on the Revolution in Military Affairs in Russia, the US, and Israel, Stanford, CA: Stanford Security Studies, 2010.
  • Ateş, Ahmet. “Understanding the Change in Intelligence Organizations: An Institutional Framework”, Doctoral Dissertation, University of Delaware, 2020.
  • Avant, Deborah D. Political Institutions and Military Change: Lessons from Peripheral Wars, Ithaca NY: Cornell University Press, 1994.
  • Bar-Joseph, Uri. "Lessons not Learned: Israel in the Post-Yom Kippur War Era." Israel Affairs 14, no 1, (2008): 70-83.
  • Bar-Joseph, Uri. The Watchman Fell Asleep the Surprise of Yom Kippur and Its Sources, Albany: State University of New York Press, 2005.
  • Bar-Joseph, Uri. "Israel's 1973 intelligence failure." Israel Affairs 6, no.1, (1999): 11-35.
  • Bar-Joseph, Uri. “Strategic Surprise or Fundamental Flaws? the Sources of Israel's Military Defeat at the Beginning of the 1973 War.” The Journal of Military History 72, no. 2 (2008): 509-530.
  • Chorev, Moni. Surprise Attack: The Case of the Yom-Kippur War, Fort Mcnair, Washington, D.C.: The Industrial College of the Armed Forces, 1996.
  • Cohen, Eliot. “Change and Transformation in Military Affairs.” Military Transformation and Strategy, (2008): 27–38.
  • Committee on Foreign Relations, Middle East Arms Sales proposals: Hearings before the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate, Ninety-fifth Congress, Second session, 1978.
  • Cristiana Matei, Florina and Jumana Kawar. "Tunisia’s Post–Arab Spring Intelligence Reform." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 33, no 1 (2020): 135-158.
  • Cristiana Matei, Florina and Thomas Bruneau. "Intelligence reform in new democracies: factors supporting or arresting progress." Democratization 18, no 3, (2011): 602-630.
  • Druckman, Yaron. “Morning of Yom Kippur War: Cabinet Rejects Call for Preemptive Strike.” Ynet News, June 10, 2010. https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3965041,00.html. (03/02/2022).
  • Farrell, Theo and Terry Terriff. The Sources of Military Change: Culture, Politics, Technology, Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2002.
  • Forkner, William, Thomas L. Kelly, Richard S. Lamarre, and Michael C. Sneeder. “Transformation Déjà Vu? A Comparison of Military Improvements of Israel (1967-1973) and the United States (1990-2002)”, Norfolk, Virginia: Joint Forces Staff College, 2002.
  • Garicano, Luis and Richard A. Posner. "Intelligence failures: An organizational economics perspective." Journal of Economic Perspectives 19, no 4, (2005): 151-170.
  • Gutfeld, Arnon and Clinton R. Zumbrunnen. “Fromnickel Grass to Desert Storm: The Transformation of US Intervention Capabilities in the Middle East.” Middle Eastern Studies 49, no. 4 (2013): 623-644.
  • Hulnick, Arthur S. "Intelligence Reform 2007: Fix or Fizzle?." International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 20, no 4, (2007): 567-582.
  • Hulnick, Arthur S. "Does the US Intelligence Community Need a DNI?." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 17, no 4, (2004): 710-730.
  • Hulnick, Arthur S. "US intelligence reform: Problems and prospects." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 19, no 2, (2006): 302-315.
  • Inbar, Efraim. “Israeli Strategic Thinking after 1973.” Journal of Strategic Studies 6, no. 1 (1983): 36-59.
  • Inbar, Efraim. “Yitzhak Rabin and Israel's National Security.” Journal of Strategic Studies 20, no. 2 (1997): 25–40.
  • Inbar, Efraim “Israeli National Security, 1973-96.” The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 555, no. 1 (1998): 62–81
  • Israel Defense Forces official website, Lt. Gen. David Elazar. (2017). https://www.idf.il/en/minisites/past-chiefs-of-staff/lt-gen-david-elazar-1972-1974/ (02/02/2022).
  • israeled.org. Agranat Commission of Inquiry Interim Report (April 1974), (2015), https://israeled.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/1974.4-Agranat-Commission-of-Inquiry-Interim-Report.pdf (02/02/2022).
  • Jager, Avi. “Transformation of the Israel Defense Forces .” International Institute for Counter-Terrorism 74, (2021): 1-25. Jeffreys-Jones, Rhodri. "The Rise and Fall of the CIA." The Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence eds. Loch K. Johnson, Oxford University Press, UK, 2010, 122-137.
  • Kier, Elizabeth. “Culture and Military Doctrine: France between the Wars.” International Security 19, no. 4 (1995): 65-93. Lahneman, William J. "The need for a new intelligence paradigm." International Maras, Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 23, no 2, (2010): 201-225.
  • Lasoen, Kenneth L. "185 years of Belgian security service." Journal of Intelligence History 15, no 2 (2016): 96-118.
  • Lederman, Gordon Nathaniel. “Restructuring the intelligence community” in The Future of American Intelligence, eds. Peter Berkowitz, Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, 2005, 65-102.
  • Madeira, Victor. "‘No Wishful Thinking Allowed’: Secret Service Committee and Intelligence Reform in Great Britain, 1919–23." Intelligence and National Security 18, no 1 (2003): 1-20.
  • Marcus, Raphael D. Israel's Long War with Hezbollah: Military Innovation and Adaptation under Fire, Georgetown University Press, 2018.
  • Marie-Helen. "Overcoming the intelligence-sharing paradox: Improving information sharing through change in organizational culture." Comparative Strategy 36, no 3, (2017): 187-197.
  • Marten, Kimberly. "The ‘KGB State’ and Russian Political and Foreign Policy Culture." The Journal of Slavic Military Studies 30, no 2, (2017): 131-151.
  • Nowland, Mark. “Eliminating the Rhetoric: An Evaluation of the Halt Phase Strategy.” Master’s Thesis, School of Advanced Airpower Studies, 1999.
  • Orion, Assaf and Udi Dekel. Publication. The Planning Directorate in “Momentum”: “Tnufa” the New IDF Multi-Year Plan, (March 5, 2020), https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/no.-1266.pdf. (03/02/2022).
  • Posen, Barry R. The Sources of Military Doctrine: France, Britain, and Germany between the World Wars, Ithaca, NY: Cornell Univ. Press, 1990.
  • Robarge, David. "Leadership in an Intelligence Organization: The Directors of Central Intelligence and the CIA." The Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence, eds. Loch K. Johnson, Oxford University Press, UK, 2010, 485-504.
  • Rodman, David. “Combined Arms Warfare: The Israeli Experience in the 1973 Yom Kippur War.” Defence Studies 15, no. 2 (2015): 161-174.
  • Rodman, David. “The Israel Air Force in the 1967 and 1973 Wars: Revisiting the Historical Record.” Israel Affairs 16, no. 2 (2010): 219-233.
  • Rom, Rami, Amir Gilat and Rose Mary Sheldon, “The Yom Kippur War, Dr. Kissinger, and the Smoking Gun." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 31, no 2, (2018): 357-373.
  • Rosen, Stephen Peter. Winning the next War: Innovation and the Modern Military, Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1991.
  • Shamir, Eitan. “Moshe Dayan in the Yom Kippur War: A Reassessment.” Intelligence and National Security 36, no. 7 (2021): 1035–1052.
  • Sharp, Jeremy. U.S. Foreign Aid to Israel. Congressional Research Service, 2009, 1-33.
  • Shlaim, Avi. “Failures in National Intelligence Estimates: The Case of the Yom Kippur War.” World Politics 28, no. 3, (1976): 348-380.
  • Shmuel L. Gordon, “The Air Force and the Yom Kippur War: New Lessons.” Israel Affairs 6, no. 1, (1999): 221-237.
  • Shpiro, Shlomo. "Soviet Espionage in Israel, 1973–1991." Intelligence and National Security 30, no 4, (2015): 1486-507.
  • Sloan, Elinor C. “What Is Military Transformation?” Military Transformation and Modern Warfare: A Reference Handbook, Westport, CT: Praeger Security International, (2008): 1–15.
  • Steinberg, Gerald M. “Large-Scale National Projects as Political Symbols: The Case of Israel.” Comparative Politics 19, no. 3 (1987): 331-346.
  • Stimson, Charles and Mary Habeck. "Reforming intelligence: A proposal for reorganizing the intelligence community and improving analysis." The Heritage Foundation, 2016, https://www.heritage.org/defense/report/reforming-intelligence-proposal-reorganizing-the-intelligence-community-and (03/02/2022).
  • Tucker-Jones, Anthony. Armoured Warfare in the Arab-Israeli Conflicts: Rare Photographs from Wartime Archives. South Yorkshire, England: Pen &; Sword Military, 2013.
  • van Creveld, Martin. “Two Years after: The Israel Defence Forces, 1973–75.” The RUSI Journal 121, no. 1 (1976): 29-34.
  • Williamson, Murray. Military Adaptation in War: With Fear of Change, Cambridge University Press, 2011.
  • Zegart, Amy B. "9/11 and the FBI: The organizational roots of failure." Intelligence and National Security 22, no 2, (2007): 165-184.
  • Zegart, Amy B. "An empirical analysis of failed intelligence reforms before September 11." Political Science Quarterly 121, no 1, (2006): 33-60.
  • Zegart, Amy B. "September 11 and the adaptation failure of US intelligence agencies." International Security 29, no 4 (2005): 78-111.
  • Zisk, Kimberly Marten. Engaging the Enemy: Organization Theory and Soviet Military Innovation, 1955-1991. Princeton (N.J.): Princeton University Press, 1993.

Transformation of Israeli Security Organizations after the Yom Kippur War

Yıl 2022, , 201 - 220, 01.05.2022
https://doi.org/10.53451/ijps.1069303

Öz

This article analyzes the transformation of Israeli security organizations after the Yom Kippur War. In this context, the literature on military change and the change of intelligence organizations was systematically examined in order to draw the theoretical and practical framework of the transformation. As a result of the research, we argue that the Yom Kippur War was considered as an intelligence failure by Israeli policy makers and the public, and the main reason for the transformation was the motivation to eliminate social trauma and failure. In addition, contrary to the common view in the literature, the transformation in Israeli military institutions took place in a hybrid manner, both top-down and bottom-up. We also conclude that, given the military, political and strategic conjuncture not only during the war, but also before and after the war, the change in question arising from the failure of the intelligence was two-way, encompassing various transformation factors. Finally, it was found that the transformation in Israeli intelligence organizations has two stages, individually and structurally, in line with the recommendations of the Agranat Commission, which was established in 1974.

Kaynakça

  • Adamsky, Dima. The Culture of Military Innovation: The Impact of Cultural Factors on the Revolution in Military Affairs in Russia, the US, and Israel, Stanford, CA: Stanford Security Studies, 2010.
  • Ateş, Ahmet. “Understanding the Change in Intelligence Organizations: An Institutional Framework”, Doctoral Dissertation, University of Delaware, 2020.
  • Avant, Deborah D. Political Institutions and Military Change: Lessons from Peripheral Wars, Ithaca NY: Cornell University Press, 1994.
  • Bar-Joseph, Uri. "Lessons not Learned: Israel in the Post-Yom Kippur War Era." Israel Affairs 14, no 1, (2008): 70-83.
  • Bar-Joseph, Uri. The Watchman Fell Asleep the Surprise of Yom Kippur and Its Sources, Albany: State University of New York Press, 2005.
  • Bar-Joseph, Uri. "Israel's 1973 intelligence failure." Israel Affairs 6, no.1, (1999): 11-35.
  • Bar-Joseph, Uri. “Strategic Surprise or Fundamental Flaws? the Sources of Israel's Military Defeat at the Beginning of the 1973 War.” The Journal of Military History 72, no. 2 (2008): 509-530.
  • Chorev, Moni. Surprise Attack: The Case of the Yom-Kippur War, Fort Mcnair, Washington, D.C.: The Industrial College of the Armed Forces, 1996.
  • Cohen, Eliot. “Change and Transformation in Military Affairs.” Military Transformation and Strategy, (2008): 27–38.
  • Committee on Foreign Relations, Middle East Arms Sales proposals: Hearings before the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate, Ninety-fifth Congress, Second session, 1978.
  • Cristiana Matei, Florina and Jumana Kawar. "Tunisia’s Post–Arab Spring Intelligence Reform." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 33, no 1 (2020): 135-158.
  • Cristiana Matei, Florina and Thomas Bruneau. "Intelligence reform in new democracies: factors supporting or arresting progress." Democratization 18, no 3, (2011): 602-630.
  • Druckman, Yaron. “Morning of Yom Kippur War: Cabinet Rejects Call for Preemptive Strike.” Ynet News, June 10, 2010. https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3965041,00.html. (03/02/2022).
  • Farrell, Theo and Terry Terriff. The Sources of Military Change: Culture, Politics, Technology, Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2002.
  • Forkner, William, Thomas L. Kelly, Richard S. Lamarre, and Michael C. Sneeder. “Transformation Déjà Vu? A Comparison of Military Improvements of Israel (1967-1973) and the United States (1990-2002)”, Norfolk, Virginia: Joint Forces Staff College, 2002.
  • Garicano, Luis and Richard A. Posner. "Intelligence failures: An organizational economics perspective." Journal of Economic Perspectives 19, no 4, (2005): 151-170.
  • Gutfeld, Arnon and Clinton R. Zumbrunnen. “Fromnickel Grass to Desert Storm: The Transformation of US Intervention Capabilities in the Middle East.” Middle Eastern Studies 49, no. 4 (2013): 623-644.
  • Hulnick, Arthur S. "Intelligence Reform 2007: Fix or Fizzle?." International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 20, no 4, (2007): 567-582.
  • Hulnick, Arthur S. "Does the US Intelligence Community Need a DNI?." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 17, no 4, (2004): 710-730.
  • Hulnick, Arthur S. "US intelligence reform: Problems and prospects." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 19, no 2, (2006): 302-315.
  • Inbar, Efraim. “Israeli Strategic Thinking after 1973.” Journal of Strategic Studies 6, no. 1 (1983): 36-59.
  • Inbar, Efraim. “Yitzhak Rabin and Israel's National Security.” Journal of Strategic Studies 20, no. 2 (1997): 25–40.
  • Inbar, Efraim “Israeli National Security, 1973-96.” The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 555, no. 1 (1998): 62–81
  • Israel Defense Forces official website, Lt. Gen. David Elazar. (2017). https://www.idf.il/en/minisites/past-chiefs-of-staff/lt-gen-david-elazar-1972-1974/ (02/02/2022).
  • israeled.org. Agranat Commission of Inquiry Interim Report (April 1974), (2015), https://israeled.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/1974.4-Agranat-Commission-of-Inquiry-Interim-Report.pdf (02/02/2022).
  • Jager, Avi. “Transformation of the Israel Defense Forces .” International Institute for Counter-Terrorism 74, (2021): 1-25. Jeffreys-Jones, Rhodri. "The Rise and Fall of the CIA." The Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence eds. Loch K. Johnson, Oxford University Press, UK, 2010, 122-137.
  • Kier, Elizabeth. “Culture and Military Doctrine: France between the Wars.” International Security 19, no. 4 (1995): 65-93. Lahneman, William J. "The need for a new intelligence paradigm." International Maras, Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 23, no 2, (2010): 201-225.
  • Lasoen, Kenneth L. "185 years of Belgian security service." Journal of Intelligence History 15, no 2 (2016): 96-118.
  • Lederman, Gordon Nathaniel. “Restructuring the intelligence community” in The Future of American Intelligence, eds. Peter Berkowitz, Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, 2005, 65-102.
  • Madeira, Victor. "‘No Wishful Thinking Allowed’: Secret Service Committee and Intelligence Reform in Great Britain, 1919–23." Intelligence and National Security 18, no 1 (2003): 1-20.
  • Marcus, Raphael D. Israel's Long War with Hezbollah: Military Innovation and Adaptation under Fire, Georgetown University Press, 2018.
  • Marie-Helen. "Overcoming the intelligence-sharing paradox: Improving information sharing through change in organizational culture." Comparative Strategy 36, no 3, (2017): 187-197.
  • Marten, Kimberly. "The ‘KGB State’ and Russian Political and Foreign Policy Culture." The Journal of Slavic Military Studies 30, no 2, (2017): 131-151.
  • Nowland, Mark. “Eliminating the Rhetoric: An Evaluation of the Halt Phase Strategy.” Master’s Thesis, School of Advanced Airpower Studies, 1999.
  • Orion, Assaf and Udi Dekel. Publication. The Planning Directorate in “Momentum”: “Tnufa” the New IDF Multi-Year Plan, (March 5, 2020), https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/no.-1266.pdf. (03/02/2022).
  • Posen, Barry R. The Sources of Military Doctrine: France, Britain, and Germany between the World Wars, Ithaca, NY: Cornell Univ. Press, 1990.
  • Robarge, David. "Leadership in an Intelligence Organization: The Directors of Central Intelligence and the CIA." The Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence, eds. Loch K. Johnson, Oxford University Press, UK, 2010, 485-504.
  • Rodman, David. “Combined Arms Warfare: The Israeli Experience in the 1973 Yom Kippur War.” Defence Studies 15, no. 2 (2015): 161-174.
  • Rodman, David. “The Israel Air Force in the 1967 and 1973 Wars: Revisiting the Historical Record.” Israel Affairs 16, no. 2 (2010): 219-233.
  • Rom, Rami, Amir Gilat and Rose Mary Sheldon, “The Yom Kippur War, Dr. Kissinger, and the Smoking Gun." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 31, no 2, (2018): 357-373.
  • Rosen, Stephen Peter. Winning the next War: Innovation and the Modern Military, Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1991.
  • Shamir, Eitan. “Moshe Dayan in the Yom Kippur War: A Reassessment.” Intelligence and National Security 36, no. 7 (2021): 1035–1052.
  • Sharp, Jeremy. U.S. Foreign Aid to Israel. Congressional Research Service, 2009, 1-33.
  • Shlaim, Avi. “Failures in National Intelligence Estimates: The Case of the Yom Kippur War.” World Politics 28, no. 3, (1976): 348-380.
  • Shmuel L. Gordon, “The Air Force and the Yom Kippur War: New Lessons.” Israel Affairs 6, no. 1, (1999): 221-237.
  • Shpiro, Shlomo. "Soviet Espionage in Israel, 1973–1991." Intelligence and National Security 30, no 4, (2015): 1486-507.
  • Sloan, Elinor C. “What Is Military Transformation?” Military Transformation and Modern Warfare: A Reference Handbook, Westport, CT: Praeger Security International, (2008): 1–15.
  • Steinberg, Gerald M. “Large-Scale National Projects as Political Symbols: The Case of Israel.” Comparative Politics 19, no. 3 (1987): 331-346.
  • Stimson, Charles and Mary Habeck. "Reforming intelligence: A proposal for reorganizing the intelligence community and improving analysis." The Heritage Foundation, 2016, https://www.heritage.org/defense/report/reforming-intelligence-proposal-reorganizing-the-intelligence-community-and (03/02/2022).
  • Tucker-Jones, Anthony. Armoured Warfare in the Arab-Israeli Conflicts: Rare Photographs from Wartime Archives. South Yorkshire, England: Pen &; Sword Military, 2013.
  • van Creveld, Martin. “Two Years after: The Israel Defence Forces, 1973–75.” The RUSI Journal 121, no. 1 (1976): 29-34.
  • Williamson, Murray. Military Adaptation in War: With Fear of Change, Cambridge University Press, 2011.
  • Zegart, Amy B. "9/11 and the FBI: The organizational roots of failure." Intelligence and National Security 22, no 2, (2007): 165-184.
  • Zegart, Amy B. "An empirical analysis of failed intelligence reforms before September 11." Political Science Quarterly 121, no 1, (2006): 33-60.
  • Zegart, Amy B. "September 11 and the adaptation failure of US intelligence agencies." International Security 29, no 4 (2005): 78-111.
  • Zisk, Kimberly Marten. Engaging the Enemy: Organization Theory and Soviet Military Innovation, 1955-1991. Princeton (N.J.): Princeton University Press, 1993.
Toplam 56 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Uluslararası İlişkiler
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Semine Seray Güldane 0000-0001-8738-5879

Ahmet Ateş 0000-0001-5184-7701

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Mayıs 2022
Gönderilme Tarihi 7 Şubat 2022
Kabul Tarihi 25 Nisan 2022
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022

Kaynak Göster

Chicago Güldane, Semine Seray, ve Ahmet Ateş. “Transformation of Israeli Security Organizations After the Yom Kippur War”. International Journal of Politics and Security 4, sy. 1 (Mayıs 2022): 201-20. https://doi.org/10.53451/ijps.1069303.

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