Araştırma Makalesi

Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company

Cilt: 14 Sayı: 2 29 Aralık 2021
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Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company

Öz

Longevity risk is exactly the opposite of mortality risk and indicates that live longer than life expectancy has a cost for insurance companies. Longevity risk is one of the important topics which take part in actuary literature. One of the most widely used model is Lee-Carter (LC) model which allow to be expressed as a stochastic process of mortality models. The study was carried out in order to model male and female mortality rates in Turkey by means of Lee-Carter (LC) method and in order to make predictions for the future. Thus, male and female death rates associated with age between 1950-2020 years of Turkish statistical institute in Turkey was used as data. At the end of study, it was found that death rate of men may be more than those females for the future.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Antolin, P. (2007). Longevity Risk and Private Pensions, OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions, No. 3, OECD Publishing.
  2. Arık, A. ve Sucu, M. (2011). Uzun Ömürlülük Bonolarını Fiyatlandırma: Uç Değer Kuramı ve Kübik Risk Fiyatlandırma Modeli, İstatistikçiler Dergisi, 4 (2011) 69-85.
  3. Black, K. and H.D. Skipper.(2000). Life & Health Insurance, Prentice Hall, NJ, USA.
  4. Booth, H., Maindonald, J. and Smith, L. (2002). Age-Time Interactions in Mortality Projection: Applying Lee-Carter to Australia, ANU, Demography and Sociology Program, Research School of Social Sciences, Working Papers No. 85.
  5. Brouhns, N. Denuit, M. and Vermunt, J.K. (2002). A Poisson log-bilinear Regression Approach to the Construction of Projected Lifetables. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. 31 (2002) 373–393.
  6. Brouhns, N., Denuit, M., Vermunt, J. (2002) A Poisson Log-Linear regression approach to the construction of projected life tables, Insurance: Mathematics and Finance, 31, 373-393.
  7. Butt Z. Haberman S. (2004). Application of Frailty-Based Mortality Models Using Generalized Linear Models, ASTIN Bulletin, Vol 34, Issue 1, 175-197.
  8. Chan, W.S. (2013) Longevity Risk: Recent Developments and Actuarial Implications, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Master Thesis, A SOA Center of Actuarial Excellence.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Mühendislik

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

29 Aralık 2021

Gönderilme Tarihi

4 Kasım 2021

Kabul Tarihi

29 Aralık 2021

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2021 Cilt: 14 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA
Yıldırım, İ. (2021). Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company. İstatistikçiler Dergisi:İstatistik ve Aktüerya, 14(2), 30-43. https://izlik.org/JA43LZ42XF
AMA
1.Yıldırım İ. Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company. JSSA. 2021;14(2):30-43. https://izlik.org/JA43LZ42XF
Chicago
Yıldırım, İsmail. 2021. “Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company”. İstatistikçiler Dergisi:İstatistik ve Aktüerya 14 (2): 30-43. https://izlik.org/JA43LZ42XF.
EndNote
Yıldırım İ (01 Aralık 2021) Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company. İstatistikçiler Dergisi:İstatistik ve Aktüerya 14 2 30–43.
IEEE
[1]İ. Yıldırım, “Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company”, JSSA, c. 14, sy 2, ss. 30–43, Ara. 2021, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA43LZ42XF
ISNAD
Yıldırım, İsmail. “Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company”. İstatistikçiler Dergisi:İstatistik ve Aktüerya 14/2 (01 Aralık 2021): 30-43. https://izlik.org/JA43LZ42XF.
JAMA
1.Yıldırım İ. Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company. JSSA. 2021;14:30–43.
MLA
Yıldırım, İsmail. “Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company”. İstatistikçiler Dergisi:İstatistik ve Aktüerya, c. 14, sy 2, Aralık 2021, ss. 30-43, https://izlik.org/JA43LZ42XF.
Vancouver
1.İsmail Yıldırım. Longevity Risk and Modelling in The Life and Pension Insurance Company. JSSA [Internet]. 01 Aralık 2021;14(2):30-43. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA43LZ42XF