Çarkları Paslandıran Güç: Yolsuzluk Rusya’nın Büyümesini Nasıl Etkiliyor?

Yıl 2025, Sayı: 124, 122 - 146, 01.10.2025

İbrahim Halil Polat , Mahir Tosunoğlu

Öz

Bu çalışma, Rusya’da yolsuzluğun kontrolünün ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisini incelemektedir. Kurumların kalitesiyle ekonomik kalkınma arasındaki ilişki vurgulanırken, yolsuzluğun ülkelerin zenginleşmesini engelleyebileceği belirtilmektedir. Literatürde, yolsuzluğun büyümeye genellikle olumsuz etkileri olduğu öne sürülmekle birlikte, bazı araştırmalar belirli koşullarda olumlu sonuçlar da ortaya koymuştur. Araştırmada 2002-2023 dönemi için Johansen eşbütünleşme testi, ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS ve CCR yöntemleri kullanılmıştır. Sonuçlara göre, ARDL tahminlerinde sermaye, nüfus ve yolsuzluk kontrolü büyümeyi olumlu, emek ise olumsuz yönde etkilemiştir. Diğer yöntemlerle elde edilen bulgular da bu sonuçları desteklemektedir. Yolsuzluğun kontrolündeki artış, büyümeyi desteklemekte; bu nedenle kurumsal reformlar, şeffaflık ve hesap verebilirlik ön plana çıkmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekonomik Kalkınma , Yolsuzluk , Zaman serisi analizi

The Power That Rusts the Gears: How Corruption Affects Russia’s Growth

Öz

This study investigates the effect of corruption control on economic growth in Russia, emphasizing the importance of institutional quality for development. While corruption is widely viewed as a key obstacle to prosperity, some studies suggest it may have positive effects under specific circumstances. Using data from 2002 to 2023, the study applies the Johansen cointegration test, ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS, and CCR methods. Findings show that capital, population, and control of corruption contribute positively to economic growth, while labor has a negative impact. These results are consistent across all estimation methods. The research concludes that improving corruption control promotes economic growth, highlighting the need for institutional reforms, greater transparency, and accountability. Additionally, policies that encourage capital investment and align labor market skills with economic needs are recommended for sustainable growth.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Economic Development , Corruption , Time series analysis

Kaynakça

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