Utilising Environmental Social Governance Rating for Predicting Financial Risk: FTSE 100
Year 2025,
Volume: 35 Issue: 3, 1387 - 1404, 23.09.2025
Isik Akin
,
Meryem Akın
,
Erdem Bağcı
,
Arshdeep Singh
Abstract
The focus of this research is on evaluating the ESG ratings of various FTSE 100 companies and their impact on financial risk. The study aims to analyze how ESG ratings affect the financial risk of FTSE 100 companies and to reveal the impact of profitability and liquidity on ESG ratings. Therefore, we examine the relationship between ESG ratings (Environmental, Social, and Governance) and financial risk for FTSE 100 companies. ESG factors are increasingly recognized as indicators of a company's ability to sustain itself and its financial performance. The utilization of ESG rating data offers several potential benefits, including providing investors and analysts with insights to evaluate companies' long-term sustainability and resilience. The study aims to reveal the connection between ESG ratings and financial risk, as well as investigate the influence of profitability and liquidity on ESG ratings. The research utilizes quantitative methodologies, including regression analysis and panel unit root tests, to analyze the data collected from FTSE 100 companies. The findings suggest a positive association between higher ESG ratings and better financial health, as well as a positive impact of profitability on ESG ratings. However, liquidity metrics do not significantly affect ESG ratings.
References
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Atz, U., Van Holt, T., Liu, Z. Z., & Bruno, C. (2020). Do Corporate Sustainability and Sustainable Finance Generate Better Financial Performance? A Review and Metaanalysis. Mime. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3708495
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Aybars, A., Ataunal, L., & Gurbuz, A. O. (2019). ESG and financial performance: impact of environmental, social, and governance issues on corporate performance. In Handbook of research on managerial thinking in global business economics (pp. 520-536). IGI Global. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-5225-7180-3.ch029
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Bag, D., & Mohanty, S. (2021). Impact of ESG Factors on Emerging Market Stock Returns. The Journal of Impact and ESG Investing, 2(2), 138-147. https://doi.org/10.3905/jesg.2021.1.029
-
Berg, F., Koelbel, J. F., and Rigobon, R. (2022). Aggregate confusion: The divergence of ESG ratings. Review of Finance, 26(6), 1315-1344. https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfac033
-
Billio, M., Costola, M., Hristova, I., Latino, C., & Pelizzon, L. (2021). Inside the ESG ratings:(Dis) agreement and performance. Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 28(5), 1426-1445. https://doi.org/10.1002/csr.2177
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Bonacorsi, L., Cerasi, V., Galfrascoli, P., & Manera, M. (2024). ESG Factors and Firms' Credit Risk. Journal of Climate Finance, 6, 100032. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclimf.2024.100032
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Broadstock, D. C., Chan, K., Cheng, L. T., & Wang, X. (2021). The role of ESG performance during times of financial crisis: Evidence from COVID-19 in China. Finance research letters, 38, 101716. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101716
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Capelli, P., Ielasi, F., & Russo, A. (2021). Forecasting volatility by integrating financial risk with environmental, social, and governance risk. Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 28(5), 1483-1495. https://doi.org/10.1002/csr.2180
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Cesarone, F., Martino, M. L., & Carleo, A. (2022). Does ESG impact really enhance portfolio profitability?. Sustainability, 14(4), 2050. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14042050
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Cerqueti, R., Ciciretti, R., Dalò, A., & Nicolosi, M. (2021). ESG investing: A chance to reduce systemic risk. Journal of Financial Stability, 54, 100887. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100887
-
Champagne, C., Coggins, F., & Sodjahin, A. (2022). Can extra-financial ratings serve as an indicator of ESG risk?. Global Finance Journal, 54, 100638. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2021.100638
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Chen, X., Yuan, C., & Chen, J. (2023). Study on the effect of ESG ratings of companies on financial restatement. Journal of Innovation and Development, 2(1), 77-81. https://doi.org/10.54097/jid.v2i1.5467
-
Chininga, E., Alhassan, A. L., & Zeka, B. (2023). ESG ratings and corporate financial performance in South Africa. Journal of Accounting in Emerging Economies, (ahead-of-print). https://doi.org/10.1108/JAEE-03-2023-0072
-
D'Amato, V., D'Ecclesia, R., & Levantesi, S. (2023). Firms' profitability and ESG score: A machine learning approach. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry. https://doi.org/10.1002/asmb.2758
-
Demers, E., Hendrikse, J., Joos, P., & Lev, B. (2020). ESG didn’t immunize stocks against the COVID-19 market crash. Available at SSRN, 3675920.
-
Do, Y., & Kim, S. (2020). Do higher-rated or enhancing ESG of firms enhance their long–term sustainability? Evidence from market returns in Korea. Sustainability, 12(7), 2664. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072664
-
Dolinsek, T., & Kovac, T. (2024). Application of the Altman Model for the Prediction of Financial Distress in the Case of Slovenian Companies. Organizacija, 57(2), 115-126. https://doi.org/10.2478/orga-2024-0008
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Finansal Riski Öngörmede Çevresel, Sosyal ve Yönetişim Derecelendirmesinin Kullanımı: FTSE 100 Örneği
Year 2025,
Volume: 35 Issue: 3, 1387 - 1404, 23.09.2025
Isik Akin
,
Meryem Akın
,
Erdem Bağcı
,
Arshdeep Singh
Abstract
Bu araştırmanın odak noktası, çeşitli FTSE 100 şirketlerinin ESG derecelendirmelerinin değerlendirilmesi ve finansal risk üzerindeki etkileridir. Çalışmanın amaçları, ESG derecelendirmelerinin FTSE 100 şirketlerinin finansal riskini nasıl etkilediğini analiz etmek ve kârlılık ve likiditenin ESG derecelendirmeleri üzerindeki etkisini ortaya koymaktır. Bu nedenle, FTSE 100 şirketleri özelinde (Çevresel, Sosyal ve Yönetişim) ESG derecelendirmeleri ile finansal risk arasındaki ilişki incelenmektedir. ESG faktörleri, bir şirketin sürdürülebilirliğini ve finansal performansını devam ettirme kapasitesinin göstergeleri olarak giderek daha fazla kabul görmektedir. ESG derecelendirme verilerinin kullanımı, yatırımcılara ve analistlere şirketlerin uzun vadeli sürdürülebilirlik ve dayanıklılıklarını değerlendirmede çeşitli faydalar sunmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı, ESG derecelendirmeleri ile finansal risk arasındaki ilişkiyi ortaya koymak ve kârlılık ile likiditenin ESG derecelendirmeleri üzerindeki etkisini araştırmaktır. Araştırmada, FTSE 100 şirketlerinden elde edilen veriler, regresyon analizi ve panel birim kök testleri gibi nicel yöntemler kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir. Bulgular, yüksek ESG derecelendirmeleri ile daha iyi finansal sağlık arasında pozitif bir ilişki olduğunu ve kârlılığın ESG derecelendirmeleri üzerinde olumlu bir etkisi bulunduğunu göstermektedir. Ancak, likidite ölçütlerinin ESG derecelendirmeleri üzerinde anlamlı bir etkisi bulunmamıştır.
References
-
Ahmad, N., Mobarek, A., & Roni, N. N. (2021). Revisiting the impact of ESG on financial performance of FTSE350 UK firms: Static and dynamic panel data analysis. Cogent Business & Management, 8(1), 1900500. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.1900500
-
Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The journal of finance, 23(4), 589-609. https://doi.org/10.2307/2978933
-
Altman, E. I., Iwanicz-Drozdowska, M., Laitinen, E. K., & Suvas, A. (2014). Distressed firm and bankruptcy prediction in an international context: A review and empirical analysis of Altman's Z-score model. Available at SSRN 2536340. https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2536340
-
Anjum, S. (2012). Business Bankruptcy Prediction Models: A Significant Study of the Altman’s Z-Score Model. Asian Journal of Management Research, 3(1), 212-219. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2128475
-
Atz, U., Van Holt, T., Liu, Z. Z., & Bruno, C. (2020). Do Corporate Sustainability and Sustainable Finance Generate Better Financial Performance? A Review and Metaanalysis. Mime. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3708495
-
Aybars, A., Ataunal, L., & Gurbuz, A. O. (2019). ESG and financial performance: impact of environmental, social, and governance issues on corporate performance. In Handbook of research on managerial thinking in global business economics (pp. 520-536). IGI Global. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-5225-7180-3.ch029
-
Bag, D., & Mohanty, S. (2021). Impact of ESG Factors on Emerging Market Stock Returns. The Journal of Impact and ESG Investing, 2(2), 138-147. https://doi.org/10.3905/jesg.2021.1.029
-
Berg, F., Koelbel, J. F., and Rigobon, R. (2022). Aggregate confusion: The divergence of ESG ratings. Review of Finance, 26(6), 1315-1344. https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfac033
-
Billio, M., Costola, M., Hristova, I., Latino, C., & Pelizzon, L. (2021). Inside the ESG ratings:(Dis) agreement and performance. Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 28(5), 1426-1445. https://doi.org/10.1002/csr.2177
-
Bonacorsi, L., Cerasi, V., Galfrascoli, P., & Manera, M. (2024). ESG Factors and Firms' Credit Risk. Journal of Climate Finance, 6, 100032. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclimf.2024.100032
-
Broadstock, D. C., Chan, K., Cheng, L. T., & Wang, X. (2021). The role of ESG performance during times of financial crisis: Evidence from COVID-19 in China. Finance research letters, 38, 101716. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101716
-
Cao, Y., & Whyte, K. (2023). Corporate tax-shields and capital structure: leveling the playing field in debt vs equity finance. The European Journal of Finance, 29(15), 1716-1735. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2022.2158112
-
Care, R. (2023). Climate-related financial risks: exploring the known and charting the future. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 65, 101385. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2023.101385
-
Capelli, P., Ielasi, F., & Russo, A. (2021). Forecasting volatility by integrating financial risk with environmental, social, and governance risk. Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 28(5), 1483-1495. https://doi.org/10.1002/csr.2180
-
Ceesay, N., Shubita, M., & Robertson, F. (2021). Sustainability reporting practices in ftse 100 companies. In The Sustainability Debate: Policies, Gender and the Media (pp. 77-100). Emerald Publishing Limited.
-
Cesarone, F., Martino, M. L., & Carleo, A. (2022). Does ESG impact really enhance portfolio profitability?. Sustainability, 14(4), 2050. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14042050
-
Cerqueti, R., Ciciretti, R., Dalò, A., & Nicolosi, M. (2021). ESG investing: A chance to reduce systemic risk. Journal of Financial Stability, 54, 100887. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100887
-
Champagne, C., Coggins, F., & Sodjahin, A. (2022). Can extra-financial ratings serve as an indicator of ESG risk?. Global Finance Journal, 54, 100638. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2021.100638
-
Chen, X., Yuan, C., & Chen, J. (2023). Study on the effect of ESG ratings of companies on financial restatement. Journal of Innovation and Development, 2(1), 77-81. https://doi.org/10.54097/jid.v2i1.5467
-
Chininga, E., Alhassan, A. L., & Zeka, B. (2023). ESG ratings and corporate financial performance in South Africa. Journal of Accounting in Emerging Economies, (ahead-of-print). https://doi.org/10.1108/JAEE-03-2023-0072
-
D'Amato, V., D'Ecclesia, R., & Levantesi, S. (2023). Firms' profitability and ESG score: A machine learning approach. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry. https://doi.org/10.1002/asmb.2758
-
Demers, E., Hendrikse, J., Joos, P., & Lev, B. (2020). ESG didn’t immunize stocks against the COVID-19 market crash. Available at SSRN, 3675920.
-
Do, Y., & Kim, S. (2020). Do higher-rated or enhancing ESG of firms enhance their long–term sustainability? Evidence from market returns in Korea. Sustainability, 12(7), 2664. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072664
-
Dolinsek, T., & Kovac, T. (2024). Application of the Altman Model for the Prediction of Financial Distress in the Case of Slovenian Companies. Organizacija, 57(2), 115-126. https://doi.org/10.2478/orga-2024-0008
-
Dunn, J., Fitzgibbons, S., & Pomorski, L. (2018). Assessing risk through environmental, social and governance exposures. Journal of Investment Management, 16(1), 4-17. https://shorturl.at/ZhBOTESG Risk Ratings (2024). Sustainalytics.com. https://shorturl.at/goFMS
-
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