Modern Politik Konjonktür Hareketleri Teorisi: Rasyonel Beklentileri İçeren Politik Konjonktür Hareketleri

Yıl 2005, Cilt: 1 Sayı: 19, 325 - 339, 01.12.2005

Levent Cinko

Öz

Politik Konjonktür Hareketleri Teorisi taraftarlarına göre siyasal iktidarlar miyopik seçmenleri kendi çıkarları doğrultusunda yönlendirebilirler. Ancak rasyonel beklentiler görüşünün popüler olması ile birlikte bu iddia ciddi anlamda eleştiriye uğramıştır. Bu durum Politik Konjonktür Hareketleri Teorisi’nin gelişimini kısa süreli de olsa sekteye uğratmıştır. Ancak gerek gelişmiş gerekse gelişmekte olan ülke verilerini test eden ampirik çalışmalar rasyonel davranış varsayımının geçerli olması halinde de Politik Konjonktür Hareketleri Teorisi’nin açıklayıcı olabileceğine ilişkin pozitif bulgular elde etmişlerdir. Yeni dönemde yapılan çalışmalar literatürün modern yaklaşım olarak ifade edilen konumunda yer almaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı modern yaklaşım içerisinde yer alan teorileri sistematize ederek analiz etmektir

Anahtar Kelimeler

Modern Politik Konjonktür Hareketleri Rasyonel Fırsatçı Model Rasyonel Partizan Model Ekonomi ile Siyaset Arasındaki İlişki

Kaynakça

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