GİRİŞİMCİLİK İLE EKONOMİK İSTİKRAR ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN BELİRLENMESİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Öz

Girişimcilik ve ekonomik istikrar uzun dönemde etkileşim içerisinde olabilen iki değişkendir. Bir ülkedeki ekonomik istikrarın varlığı girişimcilere öngörülü olma, risk alma ve yenilik yapabilme fırsatı vermektedir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’de ekonomik istikrar ve girişimcilik arasındaki ilişkiyi ortaya koymaktır. Bu amaç çerçevesinde bağımlı değişken olan girişimcilik ve bağımsız değişken olan makroekonomik istikrar arasındaki ilişki Türkiye için ampirik olarak test edilmiştir. Türkiye Odalar ve Borsalar Birliğinin yeni kurulan işletme sayısı aylık veri olarak alınmıştır. Ekonomik istikrarı belirlemek için, parasal istikrar (Tüketici Fiyat İndeksi) ve genel bütçe dengesi olmak üzere iki bağımsız değişken kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonucuna göre, parasal istikrar ile girişimcilik arasında uzun dönemli bir eş bütünleşme ilişkisi vardır. ARDL eş bütünleşme analizine göre kısa dönemli nedensellik ilişkisi parasal istikrardan girişimciliğe doğrudur. Mali istikrar ve girişimcilik arasındaki ilişkiye bakıldığında ise nedenselliğin yönü genel bütçe dengesinden girişimciliğe doğrudur. Analizde Granger nedensellik analizi kullanılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Girişimcilik,Ekonomik İstikrar,Yeni Kurulan İşletme,Parasal İstikrar

Kaynakça

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