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Testing the Day of the Week and Turn-of-the-Month Anomalies in Benelux Countries Stock Markets

Year 2019, Autumn, 317 - 328, 09.12.2019
https://doi.org/10.21733/ibad.623884

Abstract

The
purpose of this study is to test the presence of the day of the week and
turn-of-the-month (tom) anomalies in Benelux Countries stock markets in ten
years (03.01.2010 – 03.01.2019) period. Three stock markets’ daily closing
prices in Belgium (BEL20), Netherlands (AEX) and Luxembourg (LUXX) are used to
obtain return series. It is found that the return series of stock markets show
heteroskedasticity problem similar to other financial series. For this reason,
GARCH (1,1) models with five days of the week and tom dummies are applied in
BEL20, AEX and LUXX Stock Indices for the analysis period. According to our
results, it is found that only AEX has the day of the week effect because of
the tuesday’s abnormal returns. However, tom effect is not found any stock
markets.  

References

  • Agrawal, A. ve Tandon, K. (1994). Anomalies or illusions? Evidence from stock markets in eighteen countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 13, 83-106.
  • Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 32, 307-327.
  • Chia, R.C., Liew, V.K., Syed, K.W. ve Syed, A. W. (2008). Day-of-theweek effects on selected East Asian stock markets. Economics Bulletin Accessecon, 7(5), 1-8.
  • Cross, F. (1973). The behaviour of stock prices on Fridays and Mondays. Financial Analysts Journal, 29(6), 67-69.
  • Dickey, D. A. ve Fuller, W.A. (1981). Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with A Unit Root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057-1072. Engle, R. F. (1979). A General Approach to The Construction of Model Diagnostics Based Upon the Lagrange Multiplier Principle. The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series 156, University of Warwick.
  • Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4): 987-1007.
  • French, K. (1980). Stock returns and the weekend effect. Journal of Financial Economics, 8(1), 55-69.
  • Jacobs, B.I. ve Levy, K.N. (1988). Calendar anomalies: Abnormal returns at calendar turning points. Financial Analysts Journal, 44(6), 28–39.
  • Jaffe J., Keim D.B. ve Westerfield R., (1989). Earning yields, market values and stock returns. Journal of Finance, 44(1), 135-148.
  • Kunkel, R. A., Compton, W. S. ve Beyer, S. (2003). The turn-of-the-month effect still lives: the international evidence. International Review of Financial Analysis, 12(2), 207–222.
  • Lakonishok, J. ve Smidt, S. (1988). Are seasonal anomalies real? A ninety-year perspective. Review of Financial Studies, 1(4), 403–425.
  • Lyroudi, K. ve Subeniotis, D. (2002). Market anomalies in the A.S.E: the day of the week effect. European Finance Management Association Annual Conference, London, UK.
  • McConnell, J.J. ve Xu, W. (2008). Equity returns at the turn of the month. Financial Analysts Journal, 64(2), 49–64.
  • McGuinness, P.B. ve Harris, R.D. (2011). Comparison of the ‘turn-of-the-month’ and lunar new year return effects in three Chinese markets: Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzen. Applied Financial Economics, 21(13), 917–929.
  • Mitra, P. ve Khan, G. S. (2014). An analysis of day of the week and intraday effects in the Indian Stock Market: Evidence from National Stock Exchange. Journal of Contemporary Issues in Business Research, 3(3), 115-127.
  • Nath, G. ve Dalvi, M. (2004). Day of the week effect and market efficiency-evidence from Indian equity market using high frequency data of National Stock Exchange. The ICFAI Journal of Applied Finance, 11(2), 5-25.
  • Nikkinen, J., Sahlström, P. ve Äijo J. (2007). Do the US macroeconomic news announcements explain turn-of-the-month and intramonth anomalies on European stock markets? Journal of Applied Business and Economics, 7, 48-62.
  • Nikkinen, J., Sahlström, P., Takko, K. ve Äijo J. (2009). Turn-of-themonth and intramonth anomalies and U.S. macroeconomic news announcements on the thinly traded Finnish Stock Market. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 1(2), 3-11.
  • Phillips, P. C. ve Perron, P. (1988). Testing for A Unit Root in Time Series Regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335-346.
  • Poshakwale, S. (1996). Evidence on weak form efficiency and day of the week effect in the Indian Stock Market. Finance India, 10(3), 605-616.
  • Raj, M. ve Kumari, D. (2006). Day-of-the-week and other market anomalies in the Indian stock market. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 1(3), 235-246.
  • Solnik, B. ve Bousquet, L. (1990). Day of the week effect on the Paris Bourse. Journal of Banking & Finance 14(2), 461-468.

Benelüks Ülke Borsalarında Haftanın Günü ve Ay Dönümü Anomalilerinin Test Edilmesi

Year 2019, Autumn, 317 - 328, 09.12.2019
https://doi.org/10.21733/ibad.623884

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Benelüks ülke borsalarında 10 yıllık
(01.03.2010-01.03.2019) dönemde haftanın günü ve ay dönümü anomalilerinin test
edilmesidir. Getiri serilerini elde etmek için Belçika (BEL20), Hollanda (AEX)
ve Lüksemburg’daki (LUXX) üç borsa endeksinin kapanış fiyatları kullanılmıştır.
Borsaların getiri serilerinin diğer finansal serilere benzer şekilde
heterokedastisite sorununun bulunduğu tespit edilmiştir. Bu nedenle, analiz
dönemi için BEL20, AEX ve LUXX Borsa Endekslerinde haftanın beş günü ve ay
dönümü kukla değişkenlerinin bulunduğu GARCH (1,1) modelleri uygulanmıştır.
Çalışmamızdaki sonuçlara göre, salı gününe ait olağan üstü getiri nedeniyle
yalnızca AEX Borsasında haftanın günü etkisi bulunmuştur. Bununla birlikte, herhangi
bir borsada ay dönümü etkisine rastlanmamıştır.

References

  • Agrawal, A. ve Tandon, K. (1994). Anomalies or illusions? Evidence from stock markets in eighteen countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 13, 83-106.
  • Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 32, 307-327.
  • Chia, R.C., Liew, V.K., Syed, K.W. ve Syed, A. W. (2008). Day-of-theweek effects on selected East Asian stock markets. Economics Bulletin Accessecon, 7(5), 1-8.
  • Cross, F. (1973). The behaviour of stock prices on Fridays and Mondays. Financial Analysts Journal, 29(6), 67-69.
  • Dickey, D. A. ve Fuller, W.A. (1981). Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with A Unit Root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057-1072. Engle, R. F. (1979). A General Approach to The Construction of Model Diagnostics Based Upon the Lagrange Multiplier Principle. The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series 156, University of Warwick.
  • Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4): 987-1007.
  • French, K. (1980). Stock returns and the weekend effect. Journal of Financial Economics, 8(1), 55-69.
  • Jacobs, B.I. ve Levy, K.N. (1988). Calendar anomalies: Abnormal returns at calendar turning points. Financial Analysts Journal, 44(6), 28–39.
  • Jaffe J., Keim D.B. ve Westerfield R., (1989). Earning yields, market values and stock returns. Journal of Finance, 44(1), 135-148.
  • Kunkel, R. A., Compton, W. S. ve Beyer, S. (2003). The turn-of-the-month effect still lives: the international evidence. International Review of Financial Analysis, 12(2), 207–222.
  • Lakonishok, J. ve Smidt, S. (1988). Are seasonal anomalies real? A ninety-year perspective. Review of Financial Studies, 1(4), 403–425.
  • Lyroudi, K. ve Subeniotis, D. (2002). Market anomalies in the A.S.E: the day of the week effect. European Finance Management Association Annual Conference, London, UK.
  • McConnell, J.J. ve Xu, W. (2008). Equity returns at the turn of the month. Financial Analysts Journal, 64(2), 49–64.
  • McGuinness, P.B. ve Harris, R.D. (2011). Comparison of the ‘turn-of-the-month’ and lunar new year return effects in three Chinese markets: Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzen. Applied Financial Economics, 21(13), 917–929.
  • Mitra, P. ve Khan, G. S. (2014). An analysis of day of the week and intraday effects in the Indian Stock Market: Evidence from National Stock Exchange. Journal of Contemporary Issues in Business Research, 3(3), 115-127.
  • Nath, G. ve Dalvi, M. (2004). Day of the week effect and market efficiency-evidence from Indian equity market using high frequency data of National Stock Exchange. The ICFAI Journal of Applied Finance, 11(2), 5-25.
  • Nikkinen, J., Sahlström, P. ve Äijo J. (2007). Do the US macroeconomic news announcements explain turn-of-the-month and intramonth anomalies on European stock markets? Journal of Applied Business and Economics, 7, 48-62.
  • Nikkinen, J., Sahlström, P., Takko, K. ve Äijo J. (2009). Turn-of-themonth and intramonth anomalies and U.S. macroeconomic news announcements on the thinly traded Finnish Stock Market. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 1(2), 3-11.
  • Phillips, P. C. ve Perron, P. (1988). Testing for A Unit Root in Time Series Regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335-346.
  • Poshakwale, S. (1996). Evidence on weak form efficiency and day of the week effect in the Indian Stock Market. Finance India, 10(3), 605-616.
  • Raj, M. ve Kumari, D. (2006). Day-of-the-week and other market anomalies in the Indian stock market. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 1(3), 235-246.
  • Solnik, B. ve Bousquet, L. (1990). Day of the week effect on the Paris Bourse. Journal of Banking & Finance 14(2), 461-468.
There are 22 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Original Articles
Authors

İhsan Erdem Kayral 0000-0002-8335-8619

Publication Date December 9, 2019
Acceptance Date November 4, 2019
Published in Issue Year 2019 Autumn

Cite

APA Kayral, İ. E. (2019). Benelüks Ülke Borsalarında Haftanın Günü ve Ay Dönümü Anomalilerinin Test Edilmesi. IBAD Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi(5), 317-328. https://doi.org/10.21733/ibad.623884

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