Araştırma Makalesi

Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction

Cilt: 17 23 Haziran 2026
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Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction

Öz

Depression is a pervasive global health challenge affecting millions worldwide, and its timely diagnosis remains critical for effective intervention. Traditional diagnostic approaches predominantly rely on subjective clinical assessments, which often lead to delayed detection and suboptimal treatment outcomes. This study investigates the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with wearable technology to enable continuous, objective prediction of depression severity in real time. Leveraging physiological and behavioral data collected from wearable devices, advanced machine learning algorithms—including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Random Forest (RF), and Gradient Boosting (GB)—were applied to classify depression severity. Initially, the classification framework comprised five categories but was subsequently streamlined to three classes to improve model performance. Evaluation using accuracy and Mean Squared Error (MSE) metrics revealed that the Gradient Boosting model consistently outperformed other approaches. These findings underscore the transformative potential of AI-enabled wearable platforms to facilitate early, accurate depression detection, thereby enhancing personalized mental health care and treatment outcomes.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. World Health Organization (WHO), Depression is one of the leading causes of disability worldwide, affecting over 280 million people. Available: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/mental-disorders/, [Accessed June 13, 2026].
  2.     F. Zafar, L. F. Alam, R. R. Vivas, J. Wang, S. J. Whei, S. Mehmood, A. Sadeghzadegan, M. Lakkimsetti and Z. Nazir, The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Identifying Depression and Anxiety: A Comprehensive Literature Review, Cureus, 16(3), e56472 2024. https://doi.org/10.7759/cureus.56472
  3.     A. Olyanasab and M. Annabestani, Leveraging Machine Learning for Personalized Wearable Biomedical Devices: A Review, Journal of Personalized Medicine, 14(2), 203, 2024. https://doi.org/10.3390/jpm14020203
  4.     N. Prasad, I. Chien, T. Regan, A. Enrique, D. Keegan, J. Palacios, U. Munir, R. Tanno, H. Richardson, A. Nori, D. Richards, G. Doherty, D. Belgrave and A. Thieme, Deep learning for the prediction of clinical outcomes in internet-delivered CBT for depression and anxiety, PLOS One, 18(11), e0272685, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0272685
  5.     N. Narziev, H. Goh, K. Toshnazarov, S. A. Lee, K. M. Chung and Y. Noh, STDD: Short-Term Depression Detection with Passive Sensing, Sensors, 20(5), 1396, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3390/s20051396
  6.     K. Kroenke, R. L. Spitzer and J. B. W. Willams, The PHQ-9: validity of a brief depression severity measure, Journal of General Internal Medicine, 16(9), 606-613, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1525-1497.2001.016009606.x
  7.     A. A. Abd-Alrazaq, R. AlSaad, F. Shuweihdi, A. Ahmed, S. Aziz and J. Sheikh, Systematic review and meta-analysis of performance of wearable artificial intelligence in detecting and predicting depression, NPJ Digital Medicine, 6(1), 84, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-023-00828-5
  8.     A. Abd-alrazaq, R. AlSaad, S. Aziz, A. Ahmed, K. Denecke, M. Househ, F. Farooq and J. Sheikh, Wearable Artificial Intelligence for Anxiety and Depression: Scoping Review, Journal of Medical Internet Research, 25, e42672, 2023. https://doi.org/10.2196/42672

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Sağlıkta Bilgi İşleme, Akış ve Sensör Verileri, Modelleme ve Simülasyon

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

23 Haziran 2026

Gönderilme Tarihi

31 Temmuz 2025

Kabul Tarihi

21 Nisan 2026

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2026 Cilt: 17

Kaynak Göster

APA
Osmanoğlu, H., & Gismalseed, M. E. D. A. (2026). Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, 17. https://doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.1754432
AMA
1.Osmanoğlu H, Gismalseed MEDA. Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction. NÖHÜ Müh. Bilim. Derg. 2026;17. doi:10.28948/ngumuh.1754432
Chicago
Osmanoğlu, Hüsamettin, ve Moneeb Elamin Dafa Alla Gismalseed. 2026. “Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction”. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi 17 (Haziran). https://doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.1754432.
EndNote
Osmanoğlu H, Gismalseed MEDA (01 Haziran 2026) Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi 17
IEEE
[1]H. Osmanoğlu ve M. E. D. A. Gismalseed, “Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction”, NÖHÜ Müh. Bilim. Derg., c. 17, Haz. 2026, doi: 10.28948/ngumuh.1754432.
ISNAD
Osmanoğlu, Hüsamettin - Gismalseed, Moneeb Elamin Dafa Alla. “Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction”. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi 17 (01 Haziran 2026). https://doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.1754432.
JAMA
1.Osmanoğlu H, Gismalseed MEDA. Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction. NÖHÜ Müh. Bilim. Derg. 2026;17. doi:10.28948/ngumuh.1754432.
MLA
Osmanoğlu, Hüsamettin, ve Moneeb Elamin Dafa Alla Gismalseed. “Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction”. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, c. 17, Haziran 2026, doi:10.28948/ngumuh.1754432.
Vancouver
1.Hüsamettin Osmanoğlu, Moneeb Elamin Dafa Alla Gismalseed. Machine learning models for real-time depression prediction. NÖHÜ Müh. Bilim. Derg. 01 Haziran 2026;17. doi:10.28948/ngumuh.1754432